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What Is Forex Correlation and Why Does It Matter When Trading?

Last Updated: March 24, 2025 This article is reviewed annually to reflect the latest market regulations and trends. Being able to understand how sensitive your positions are to market volatility and other assets through correlation, especially when it comes to Forex correlation, is essential to better control your portfolio’s exposure and get better results.…
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Focus on several central banks’ meetings this week

European indexes closed lower yesterday on thin trading volume, as the British stock exchange was closed for a public holiday. However, American indices ended up higher after tumbling on Friday. Growing concerns about global growth weighed on European indices, as Chinese and European PMI figures were lower than expected – indicating potentially weaker upcoming economic…
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Top 5 News Releases Every Forex Trader Must Focus On for More Opportunity

Last Updated: March 25, 2025 This article is reviewed annually to reflect the latest market regulations and trends. All financial assets react to major news releases, as they often give clues about how healthy a country’s economy is, which strongly influences investor decisions, especially when it comes to the Forex or currency market. While there…
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Fears about Chinese Covid lockdown consequences weigh on markets

Yesterday, European markets tumbled in the face of growing risks of a pronounced slowdown in the Chinese economy. The new wave of Covid-19 cases sweeping through China, the world’s second-largest economy and the largest importer of commodities, is gaining momentum and weighing on global market indexes. While European markets ended the day lower, Wall Street turned positive…
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Top 5 Reasons You Must Join a Forex Trading Championship

Last Updated: March 26, 2025 This article is reviewed annually to reflect the latest market regulations and trends. Thinking about whether or not you should enter a Forex trading championship? Well, let’s have a look at 5 reasons why you should join a Forex trading competition today! But before we do…
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Top 7 habits of highly effective traders

Have you ever wondered how to become a highly effective trader? What kinds of qualities make a high-performance trader? Or how to develop winning and successful trading strategies? Let us have a look at 7 habits of highly effective traders that will help you be a better trader by increasing the profitability of your trading…
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Rising US yields weighs on growth stocks & Yen close to 20-year low

Against the trend of other financial places, the French benchmark ended the day slightly up after a volatile day, following the first round of the French presidential election where Macron and Le Pen have been selected to the second round of elections, with the final choice being on April 24. American markets finished the trading…
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2021交易杯 | 在算法环伺的参赛者中,出现主观交易者的救星?

时光荏苒,距离2021交易杯收官已经不到3个月的时间,而俄乌战争也已过去1个半月,战火持续的同时,金融市场也不曾停歇。透过交易杯当中独家MMR算法所得出的前10大参赛者,本周异动了4位,而前5大的排名稳如泰山,没太大变化,第6 到第10的排名战场则是出现较大的变动。 4/7排名前10大的交易者 綜觀前10大的交易者,当中高达8位使用EA(智能顾问)程序交易,顾名思义就是藉由透过观察交易品种的历史价格走势,总结出其中的规律变化,然后透过编写电脑程序,当报价资料进来之后,由运行的程序实时去判断是否出现进出场讯号,若有讯号则由程序发出指令到交易平台的后台进行相应的动作。 程序化交易范例代码 近年来,各大交易市场都看得到程序交易的影子,美股市场中就超过7成的交易量都是藉由算法交易所完成,就连过去常年排名前10大对冲基金当中也超过7檔是使用算法交易来投资全球市场。 由此可见,此次的交易杯也出现了这样的趋势,最大的原因就在于电脑可以24小时监控市场的价格变化,同时不会有人性对于投资的干扰,不会出现该进场不进场,该出场不出场的情况。当交易者对于其EA经过严谨的测试之后,便能对于实时运作EA时可能会出现什麽样的风险与报酬有概括性的了解。 尽管如此,程序毕竟是人类所创造出来的产物,创造性的想法目前仍然以人类胜出,从2020年3月新冠疫情带给市场的急跌急涨,使得许多量化头亏损连连,背后的原因就在于这些量化巨头所设计的模型过去没有遇过类似新冠疫情的状况,这种样本外的异常现象使得模型失效,进而导致损失。通常在这种时后,人工经验交易者能够快速判断市场的风向变了,进一步调整当下的交易风格来适应市场。 所幸,在当前的前10大排名者当中,还存在着这样的主观交易者。他就是我们1月中评析当中所介绍过的Hui Zhen Guo,让我们先简单概要其交易风格,在参赛过程中交易了7种商品,其中大于100次的有EURUSD、XAUUSD、NAS100及DJ30。 若从品种的胜率与获利角度来看,DJ30(道琼斯指数)是带给他最多获利的商品,胜率仅38%,可以发现Hui Zhen Guo在进场前交易时潜在制定的赚赔比基本上会大于2倍,否则很难在胜率不到4成的情况下还能赚钱。另外,从下图中,乍看之下,不论丛胜率或者是个别品种获利来看,都仅属于还OK的水准。但各位要知道,这边的统计数字是根据已经平仓的数据来总结。 如果把Hui Zhen Guo仍未平仓的部位考虑进来,那呈现的就是完全不同的光景。因为当前未平仓获利金额相较于其账户金额高达3倍以上,从交易数据来看,可发现Hui Zhen Guo从3/30以来重仓做空欧美货币对,并且在这个过程当中还在不停的加码,使Hui Zhen Guo的未平仓获利随着欧美货币对持续下挫而大幅增加,这种看对行情扯满风舤的操作方式可以说是极富天分的主观交易者才做得出来,而且这种单边的顺势大行情若持续下去,恐怕前10大排名将有翻天覆地的变化,因为目前其他8位使用EA的参赛者全是使用马丁格尔的交易策略,这种行情就是他们最为害怕的盘势。 欧元日线走势图 让我们期待Hui Zhen Guo能够顺着做空欧元的东风,攀上排名之巅!
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Investors remain cautious amid talks of more sanctions against Russia

European markets finished higher on Monday despite Ukraine accusing Russia of war crimes, more potential sanctions targeting Russia, and rising oil prices. In Europe, the session generated relatively low trade volume, with very limited initiatives in view of a still very uncertain international context. Some key data from Monday’s trading session: CAC 40 = +0.70% DAX…
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2021交易杯 | 小资金该如何做风险控制?

在2021交易杯大赛中,回报率在100%以上的参赛者笔笔皆是,但并非所有高回报都是排行靠前的。由于本届交易杯采用独家MMR排名算法,将不稳定的交易因素全部剔除,留在榜上的都是全方面卓越的交易者。就从排名前十来看,回报率超过100%只有一个Bai Nan Chai,而Ala Debbabi以其卓越的风险回报比率稳坐第一宝座。 3月30日前十排名 让我们将目光从前十排行中挪开,放在紧跟其后的后起之秀上。领先的参赛者看似稳坐高台,但实际上后面还有很多交易者在奋起直追。今天我们要关注的便是目前排名第16的Zhi Yan Chang。 相比前十,Zhi Yan Chang的投入资本并不占优势,约5千美元的净入金远低于Ala Debbabi的7万美元和Greenberg Holdings的15万澳元。这也对他的风险控制提出了更高的要求。巧的是,他的交易策略和这两位交易者如出一辙,都是利用EA自动交易,以马丁格尔策略双向交易欧美货币对,而且是只交易欧美。 Zhi Yan Chang加入交易杯的时间不长,今年1月中旬加入至今只有两个半月,但已经实现了24%的回报。直观地从资金曲线图来看,曲线稳定上涨,说明交易策略的确是有效的。不过这种马丁格尔的策略其实我们已经看过很多次了,我们真正关心的还是小资金该如何抵御马丁格尔策略中无法回避的尾部大亏损风险。在往期的分析中,我们提到过一旦马丁格尔策略遇到单边行情,很容易造成无法挽回的巨大亏损。 就在MT4平台时间3月4日12:30,欧洲央行表示可能会按下政策紧缩的暂停键,导致欧美货币对在3小时内单边大幅下滑,直到平台时间3月4是15:50,欧美才止跌反弹。不巧的是,Zhi Yan Chang在这期间多次加仓欧美多单,承受了较大的亏损。一般来说,马丁格尔策略只有在盈利单弥补了亏损单的情况下才会出场,但如果当时他真的这么做了,很可能不仅不会转盈,反而会不断扩大亏损。这里就体现出Zhi Yan Chang壮士断腕的决断力,在欧美小幅反弹后,果断将所有多单全部同一时间平仓,避免了后续的亏损。 据我们的分析,他的策略中很可能比Ala Debabbi多了一个风控部份,如果当日的累计亏损达到2%-3%时,策略会直接全部平仓,避免遭到后续的大幅亏损。这种策略也就是所谓的严格日止损策略。由于Zhi Yan Chang的仓位不大,一旦遭到大额亏损,很可能一蹶不振,影响到后续的回报。因此配合上严格止损,便能够很大程度上规避小资本的爆仓风险。 我们在这里还是要提醒交易者,马丁格尔策略的尾部风险较大,对资金量有一定的要求。使用这个策略对交易经验有一定的要求,需要有自己的理解,而不要盲目抄袭。 Zhi Yan Chang能否厚积薄发,超越Ala Debabbi夺得桂冠,让我们拭目以待!
